As promised, I publish my projection for the Eurovision song contest 2012. The model is based on two factors a) Youtube view counts and b) Friendship coefficients, based on the results of of the competitions in past decade. Enjoy!
Position | Country | Points |
1 | Russia | 442 |
2 | Turkey | 440 |
3 | Sweden | 327 |
4 | Cyprus | 214 |
4 | Germany | 214 |
6 | Serbia | 140 |
7 | Azerbaijan | 96 |
8 | Romania | 93 |
9 | Iceland | 86 |
10 | Albania | 64 |
11 | Ireland | 51 |
12 | Greece | 38 |
13 | Estonia | 32 |
13 | UK | 32 |
15 | Ukraine | 30 |
16 | Moldova | 29 |
17 | Denmark | 24 |
18 | Norway | 23 |
19 | Lithuania | 22 |
19 | Spain | 22 |
21 | Macedonia | 15 |
22 | France | 1 |
22 | Hungary | 1 |
24 | Bosnia | 0 |
24 | Italy | 0 |
24 | Malta | 0 |
You can find the detailed projection here:esc2012projectionfinal.